The Real News Network two-part interview with
Robert Kelley on Iran’s Nuclear Program
November 12-13, 2013
November 12-13, 2013
JESSICA
DESVARIEUX, TRNN PRODUCER: Welcome to The Real News Network. I'm Jessica
Desvarieux in Baltimore.
Talks between
Iran and six global powers over its nuclear program fizzled out over the
weekend. But plans are still in place for another meeting on November 20
in Geneva.
Now joining us
to discuss this imminent meeting is Robert Kelley. He's a nuclear engineer who
has worked in the U.S. nuclear complex for more than 30 years. He assisted the
IAEA as the director in the Iraq Action Team.
Thank you so
much for joining us, Robert.
ROBERT KELLEY,
FORMER NUCLEAR WEAPONS ANALYST, LOS ALAMOS NATIONAL LABORATORY: [incompr.]
Jessica.
DESVARIEUX: So
if there needs to be absolute transparency--we're talking on the Iranian
side--do you feel like Iran has been transparent? And could they be more
transparent?
KELLEY: Iran
has behaved in two different ways. With respect to their legal obligation to
allow IAEA access to nuclear materials handling facilities--that's places like
inversion plants, reactors, enrichment plants--they've been extremely
transparent. They've been very cooperative. Something like 12 percent of
the IAEA's total budget goes to inspecting one country, namely, Iran. And they
get to go to every place they want to go in the nuclear business. But IAEA asks
to go to places that are military facilities, factories for the military
programs. And Iran has offered some opportunities for that in the past. They
didn't feel that they were rewarded for it, and so they said no.
Personally, I'd
like to see them go a little further and allow some access to some contentious
military facilities that are not nuclear facilities, because it would tend to
clear the books. But so far they haven't been willing to do that, because, as I
say, they did it before.
DESVARIEUX:
And, Robert, you often hear from the right and Israel and other factions here
in the United States that at the end of the day, Iran does want a weapon. But
if Iran were to weaponize, would they have to get the inspectors out of the
country?
KELLEY: No,
they wouldn't need to get the inspectors out. The inspectors are going to
nuclear facilities, as I said earlier, and they don't have access to places
where weaponization would go on.
Weaponization
is largely conducted in laboratories, in computers, and is kind of lacking in
signatures. It's very hard for intelligence people to see weaponization. The
one place where it really shows up in something like satellite imagery is the
high-explosive testing that goes along with it. So that's one place where
people would look.
But all you
have to do is go back and look at Iraq in 1980s. They were heavily involved in
weaponization, in many cases in building next door to places where inspectors
were, and the inspectors didn't know it.
The inspectors
[inaud.] anyway. It's not in their job description. They are there to monitor
nuclear materials. And most inspectors, frankly, just wouldn't recognize the
indications of weapons, weaponization if they saw them.
DESVARIEUX: So
do you feel like that adds to the legitimacy, you know, of--it's debatable, but
legitimacy of the argument that if Iran would want to weaponize? And I only ask
that because the negotiations are recommencing next week, and they're happening
on November , 20 as I mentioned in the introduction. If you were in the
negotiation room, what deal with you like to see come out of these talks?
KELLEY: Well,
the weaponization issues are not going to be in the talks on the 20th. That's
the really important thing that came out of the last few days. IAEA has
retreated from that issue [inaud.] will be primarily devoted to the reactor at
Arak and to the uranium enrichment. So that's very good news.
What would I
like to see? I would like to see Iran come to where a lot of other countries
are that have investigated weapons in the past. I think it's pretty clear to
everybody that when the Iran-Iraq War was going on in the late '80s, that both
countries were looking at nuclear weapons. And I suspect that some activities
continued after that in Iran.
But if you go back
and look up--I don't want to name all the countries that have done this, but
take for example the Swiss, who published a document about their nuclear
weapons program and what they did, and several other European countries that
investigated the possibility and then backed off. Iran should really consider
the possibility of doing the same. And that is saying, look, here's what we did
do some years ago, here's where it led, and here are some of the political
decisions that were made. The U.S. intelligence community believes that this
program probably stopped in around 1973. And it today Iran is trying to remain
a threshold state, if you will, a state that could make that decision today.
But there are lots of other countries in that position.
You've also asked
about transparency. I would like to add that Iran has just opened a new
website. Their website is slick. It's Madison Avenue. It addresses all the
issues we're talking about in plain, modern, colloquial English. And so they
are trying very hard to come out now to the table and say, here we are, look
it, here's what we have today, and here are the issues that we have today with
the IAEA and the P5+1. So I think Iran is turning a corner in that regard in
terms of trying to speak to the Western world language that the Western world
understands and uses.
KELLEY: But,
Robert, what about the IAEA? Could they be more transparent?
KELLEY: Oh, I
definitely think they could. IAEA is accusing Iran of all kinds of things in
the weaponization area. But they are not presenting their evidence. And so the
material they're putting on the table is of questionable sourcing. And,
frankly, the analysis of it is extremely poor. So when IAEA says to Iran,
you're doing such and such at this building, the Iranians can see how bad the
analysis is, and they want to know where the information is coming from. I
think everyone knows who's feeding the IAEA the information, but IAEA really
needs to be just more open with Iran and say, this is what we know, and this is
why we're confronting you, and this is what we need to do to finish it.
DESVARIEUX:
When you say everyone knows where the information's coming from, who are you
talking about specifically?
KELLEY: Oh, I
think it's very clear, if you've read Mohamed ElBaradei’s book, that this
laptop information on which the military dimensions are based came from the
U.S. and Israel. He names Israel as being willing to say, we provided
information that we want you to follow up on [incompr.] So you certainly know
those two countries at least are providing information. And there's at least a
supposition that the information the U.S. is confronting with came through a
third party.
DESVARIEUX: And
if you want to keep following this story and get the latest information, please
continue to watch The Real News and follow us on Twitter. And you can follow me
on Twitter as well @Jessica_reports.
Thanks
for watching The Real News Network.
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